Prediction of Ignacio Parisca vs Imanol Lopez Morillo at M15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria 11-14-25

• Second Serve Performance: Over the last six months, Ignacio Parisca has a slight edge in winning points on his second serve at 42.84%, compared to Imanol Lopez Morillo's 41.56%. Could this small advantage influence the match outcome?
• Return Game: Ignacio Parisca leads in return stats, winning 47.93% of opponents' second serve points and 33.02% of first serve returns. In contrast, Imanol Lopez Morillo trails with 46.50% and 31.28% respectively. This suggests Parisca may be more effective in breaking his opponent's serve.
• Pressure Situations: Both players have a similar breakpoint save percentage, with Parisca at 51.31% and Lopez Morillo at 51.30%, indicating close performance under pressure.
• Overall Match Performance: Lopez Morillo has a better winning percentage over the past year, with 62.00% compared to Parisca's 56.25%, which might give him an edge.
• Surface Strengths: Both players have their best win percentage on clay (52%). However, Parisca struggles significantly on hard courts with no wins recorded compared to Lopez Morillo's 57% success rate.
• Competition Level: Parisca's match experience mostly comes from lower-tier tournaments with a 57.14% win rate, while Lopez Morillo has a higher 65.12% win rate at the same level, possibly indicating stronger form.
• Head-to-Head Record: Parisca has won both sets in their only previous encounter, which could boost his confidence for this meeting.
• Opponent Quality: Parisca has faced higher-ranked opponents on average over the last year (rank 285.61) compared to Lopez Morillo (rank 396.48). Does this mean Parisca is more battle-tested?
• Deciding Set Performance: Lopez Morillo edges out in deciding set performance with a 50% success rate, while Parisca has won 44% in similar scenarios.
• Breakpoint Conversion: Parisca has demonstrated superior breakpoint conversion at 38.55% vs. Lopez Morillo's 30.33%, hinting at greater efficiency in capitalizing on opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (November 14, 2025, UTC):

As we evaluate the upcoming match, various factors suggest a close contest between Ignacio Parisca and Imanol Lopez Morillo. Their second serve and breakpoint conversion metrics slightly favor Parisca, indicating potential advantages in crucial moments. Furthermore, their head-to-head history tilts in Parisca's favor, who has previously secured wins against Morillo.

Nonetheless, Lopez Morillo's overall win record in the past year and slightly better performance in deciding sets add complexity to the prediction, hinting at his resilience and capability to push matches to the limit when necessary.

Despite Lopez Morillo's strong recent form, Parisca's advantages in specific in-game scenarios such as returning and breakpoint conversion, along with a past victory over his opponent, suggest a favorable outcome for him.

Hence, Ignacio Parisca is the likely winner of this upcoming match.